📺 Who Won The Macro Super Bowl?
Macro-To-Micro Power Hour full episode recorded on 01/31/2024
In this week’s episode of Micro-To-Micro Power Hour, recorded on 01/31/2024, Craig Shapiro and I discuss the recent Federal Reserve decisions, Treasury issuance plans, and their implications for the markets.
We highlight the unexpected hawkish stance taken by the Fed and the Treasury's announcement regarding increased duration issuance, which could impact liquidity and market dynamics.
We also delve into the potential effects of these developments on inflation, interest rates, and the broader economic outlook, emphasizing the importance of upcoming data releases and central bank communications in shaping market expectations.
The list of themes discussed in the video is below.
📺 In this episode:
00:00 Introduction
01:48 Treasury's Net Increase In Duration Supply and Market Reactions
03:42 Impact Of NYCB Bank Issue, Labor Data, and Inflation On Markets
05:28 Fed's Stance On Financial Conditions, Rate Cuts, and QT Discussions
07:19 Analysis Of Powell's Press Conference and Market Dynamics
10:27 Summary Of Market Conditions Post-FOMC, Treasury Announcements, and Corporate Earnings
12:23 Fed's Approach To Inflation Measurement and Neutral Rate Of Interest
14:35 Powell's Comments On Future Rate Cuts, Inflation Expectations, and Economic Performance
16:18 Importance Of Non-Farm Payrolls and Upcoming Economic Data
18:41 Discussion On 10-year Yield Movements, Small Caps Performance, and Dollar/Yen Policy
21:54 Overview Of Upcoming Macro Events, Earnings, and Market Risks
24:34 Analysis Of Share Buybacks, Market Support, and Systematic Positioning
27:30 Introduction To Edge Advisory Service and Promotional Offer
28:39 Technical Analysis and Price Targets For #Nasdaq, #SPY, and #smallcapstocks
31:00 Discussion On Market Volatility, VIX, and 10-year Yield Expectations
34:13 Future Outlook For Commodities, Dollar Index, and CPI Data Implications
37:57 Analysis Of TSLA Stock Performance and Market Expectations
39:41 Overview Of Growth To Value Ratio, Trading Strategies, and Market Rotation
42:44 Liquidity Trends, Yield Effect On Commodities, and Dollar Index Analysis
45:30 Closing Remarks
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