VIX Spike
For this VIX spike TODAY, I gave SVXY PT of 82.37. We tagged 82.38. LOL
Then bounced a wee bit. So THAT is the level to trade against with 82.33 the more important WKLY level for swings. But in a nutshell, breadth breakdown under the surface combined with net selling of size SINCE AUGUST 1ST has not slowed. So until I see stabilization and buying, VIX will continue higher in time: Price Targets remain: 20.44, 21.33, 22.87, etc above 18.70 wkly close.Big Picture: VIX ABOVE 17.59 is market bearish on way to 25.20 most likely.
SPY tagged 470.77 DAILY PT/ 421.22 WKLY PT
SPX still hasn't tagged 4218.70 D/W PT.
QQQ has to break 355 to flush still.
TNX hit 4.79 and DXY hit 107+USDJPY intervention didn't help so maybe they need to give it a 2nd attempt in a few weeks.
USDCAD and USDTWD are both breaking out of monthly resistance.
GOLD fell to 1826 PT and ZB is approaching 111 with TLT in the $85 zone. Nothing in my DXY/10Y ration shows signs of weakening, so continued equity and bond selling is my baseline bet.
Add to weak October seasonality and CTA (price insensitive hedge funds) with $20 to $30 billion to sell in the next two weeks, VIX can move a lot higher.
BREAKING: Hedge funds using computers to trade equities are expecting to start selling to the tune of $20 billion to $30 billion in the next two weeks given retreating stock markets, per UBS.
I WAS JUST TALKING ABOUT THIS IN MY LIVE TRADING ROOM.
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