📺 The Super Bowl Of Earnings And Macro

From Macro EDGE Roundup recorded on 01/18/2024

In this short clip from Macro EDGE Roundup recorded on 01/25/2024 (available to EDGE members), Craig Shapiro and I discuss the upcoming significant week in the financial markets, termed the "Super Bowl of Macro," which coincides with the earnings season.

We highlight key events such as the Federal Reserve and Treasury meetings, major tech company earnings, and economic data releases like the PCE, GDP, and non-farm payrolls.

Our dialogue also touches on market expectations for a "Goldilocks scenario," inflation concerns, and the potential impact of these factors on the Fed's rate decisions and Treasury's issuance strategy.

📺 In this episode:
00:00 Introduction
00:32 Super Bowl Of Macro: Upcoming Economic Events and Market Dynamics
01:22 Earnings Season: Impact On Markets
01:43 Importance Of Positioning In Macro Driven Events
01:59 Market Signals and Sector Performances
02:08 High Expectations For Earnings and Economic Indicators
03:49 Fed's Rate-Cutting Cycle and Economic Indicators
04:57 Economic Growth and Fed's Monetary Policy
05:56 Inflation Expectations and Supply Chain Disruptions
07:12 Real Rates Normalization and Financial Conditions
08:12 Fed's Approach To Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions
09:10 Treasury Announcements and Market Reactions
10:26 Political Considerations and Treasury Strategies
11:43 Treasury Borrowing Needs and Market Implications

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