Samantha's Unlocked Recorded Live Trading Room - 3/19/25
With Summary Notes by Live Trading Room Moderators Rithika and Mikey!
Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary
Can be found under MARKET CATCH tab.
Watch today’s LIVE TRADING ROOM recording
Tip: fast forward a few minutes to skip to the start of the session
#trading-room-summaries
Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.
For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!
Rithika's Chase Summary
Markets waiting on FOMC for further action
Yield ratio has come down to the trendline
QQQ we need over 487 to get excited break below 471 is bearish
AAPL over 213 pushing into 215, 217
SPX needs above 5685 to push into 5700, 5720
Mu has earnings tonight been chopping in a range
GILD coming down into 107 weekly
BIDU 105 tag and digesting
LLY trying to bounce into 841
GOOGL 160 tag and bounce
SPY needs above 564 for 566.82 gapfill, 568
QQQ above 479 we have 482.73 gapfill
GDX digesting its expansive move
Michael's Trading Room Summary
MAR 19, 2025 AM Edition
** PLEASE NOTE
This is a brief summary of what I captured during the session. Please refer back to the video recording for more details and in depth analysis.
DON'T FORGET: AFTER SAMANTHA CLOSES HER LIVE TRADING ROOM - AND EVEN DURING IT - ARCHNA & NELSON ARE RUNNING LIVE MARKET COMMENTARY, EDUCATION AND TRADE SET UPS - PRACTICALLY ALL DAY - UNDER #CHASE-LIVE-HUDDLE IN SLACK.
- ALL ARE WELCOME!!
FOMC Special Session Today, Wed 19th March
Samantha will open the Live Trading Room for a special session at 2PM ET today to track Fed day. You will need to register for the 2pm session at the following link:
https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_1wJLirSuQQmKmsIR_-Du1Q
Macro-to-Micro Options Power Hour Special today at 4PM. At 4pm ET, Samantha and Hans will host a live review of all the Fed day action in their Macro-to-Micro Options Power Hour Special.
One possible market mover from FOMC is the dot plot and possible market "repricing" a lower cut count. Another possible market mover is the discussion of QT. Markets are on alert for changes to the Fed's ongoing runoff of its balance sheet, known as "quantitative tightening," or QT. Nick Timiraos at the Wall Street Journal has suggested the fed will slow QT even more.
MAG7 - Under 1.20 and stalled. MAGS META AMZN MSFT NFLX AAPL GOOGL NVDA TSLA early strength in the megacap tech names, all green in early trading.
Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - hanging out at 275 still.
IWF:IWD - below 2.00 and holding around 1.95. Stochastics tangled around the 20 area
INTERMARKET
T2100 - pushed into the 200-day (from below) - but still rolling over.
T2104 - slop.
T2123 - very flat; stabilization
WTI CRUDE - soggy crude prices.
GOLD (futures) - time to protect
Bit Coin - BTC Bitcoin bounces +2.2% to $83,815 giving modest boost early to crypto complex
FX
Dollar (DXY) - still have measured move into 102 area.
USDJPY - JGB-10Y still holding around 1.52% area. Looking for possible 150.50 on the pair.
USDCAD - trend reversal short.
USDMXN - trend reversal short.
BONDS
TNX - tight range that is compressing on daily; holding the 4.3% area.
US30/JP30 - little pop but stalled. "up" is bullish for the broader market.
10/2 spread - fade into 0.22% as the flatener continues.
INDEX
SPX - looks like it wants to roll over into Friday; holding under 5670 weekly & under the 50-week. 5553 hourly looks like the next lower PT. Could pop up into 5654; above that offers a little more.
SPY - above hourly 564 offers 566.82; below 560 offers 554.62 gap fill
BXM - needs to get back above a monthly level.
QQQ - nice move into 486 rejection back into 476; wouldn't surprise if we roll over; likely see 472 gap fill on the hourly.
VIX - lows down 3% to 21.08 - Monday low of 20.32, yesterday low of 20.41
VIX3M/VIX Ratio - back above 1.00 but holding there.
CHASE
QQQ we need over 487 to get excited break below 471 is bearish
AAPL over 213 pushing into 215, 217
SPX needs above 5685 to push into 5700, 5720
Mu has earnings tonight been chopping in a range
GILD coming down into 107 weekly
BIDU 105 tag and digesting
LLY trying to bounce into 841
GOOGL 160 tag and bounce
SPY needs above 564 for 566.82 gapfill, 568
QQQ above 479 we have 482.73 gapfill
GDX digesting its expansive move
HONORABLE MENTIONS
AMZN - hit PT yesterday.
AEM - great! (GDX hit bollinger weekly).
AAPL - a chase above 215.22; short trigger below 212. AAPL highs +2.2%
BABA - struggle to get above 148.
BIDU - tagging 98.70 on the hourly.
BA - up +4% pre mkt after CFO comments; BA still extending gains up about 6% above $171, approaching its 50dma $172.50 - after topping its 200dma earlier of $168.15
GILD - down -2.79% pre mkt after CDC review of HIV division headlines; still selling off, started the short from profit taking but continued the short off news; above the 55day but 103 short PT brings us into that 55-day. Gap Fill at 96.00$
GIS -down -4% premarket after results, guidance
GLD - time to protect.
HIMS - lows -1%
IONQ - just sitting here. Above the 200-day / below the 55-day. Costly. June is better (for options). 30 is resistance.
INTC - down -2.5% pre mkt after TSM board member comments
LVS - highs +2% after insider buy reported say traders
MOS - up +2% premarket after broker action
MU - earnings on deck; still under the rolling over 200-day MA.
NVDA - premarket highs +1.6%
OLLI - up +9% after results
PGR - down -4% premarket after results; PGR extending slide on the open following Feb results - down 5.25% now, continues yesterday -2.73% decline
PAAS - nice; digest 26 weekly.
ROKU - stay above 71.30 with PT into 76.
RDDT - closed right on the 200d yesterday, down 3% early and now nearly 25% off Monday's hi
SIG - up +17% premarket after results
SPIR +8% on day after NVDA headlines
TSLA - Upgraded by Cantor Fitzgerald to overweight (from neutral) with a PT of 425$. TSLA +3.57% pre mkt after broker action. Musk / Hannity interview likely helped with the short term pop.
WSM - Up +4% premarket after results; WSM reverses, now red
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