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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael
Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.
For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!
Rithika's Chase Summary
FAANG and semi stocks joined the party today in selling
QQQ breaking support at 449 and also secondary support at 446.39, may 15th gap-up being filled at 445.34
SPX rejected and came back in, now below 5220 we have 5200,5189
VIX above 15 is "short at will" but right now it is at 200D on EOM which could just be EOM profit taking OR something more nefarious like South Sea escalation.
BXM has broken my daily support levels + now sits on wkly. Not bullish until both reverse.
CRWD fab resort on bounce into resistance at 329 back thru 316.40 trigger into 307.55 PT!!
DELL at 10W 131 as expected once 136 broke.
MRVL also great chase short post EPS from break of 75.38 to 73.53 to 68. Overshooting now reversing 2 wks of gains.
SMH head and shoulders below 239 back to 230.95
META 453 approaching below 463
MU below 124 pushing down to 120,116.28
AVGO 1325 tagged below 1360, next is 1307
MSFT pushing down fast to 407,405.6 below 412
NVDA below 1098 back to 1065
MNST pushing down to 49.9 below 51.32
HIMS call buyers still coming in
AMZN below 177.5 comes down to 175, 173.9
COST buy the rumor sell the news, below 805 we have 800, 789
Michael's Trading Room Summary
MAY 31, 2024 AM
Rate of Inflation is cooling. Markets are showing a sign of relief. Stocks & Bonds higher - yields lower. Pop in OIL. Softness in Commodities. Still have the warm housing market theme because of an expected lower yields and a move lower in the MOVE Index.
Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - Dumping this morning; stock should get supported
IWF:IWD - turned tail sharply. WDAY, CRM, ect ect ... value is starting to straiten it's back as growth peters out.
INTERMARKET
T2104 - a little bit of buying - but not too much. In distribution.
WTI CRUDE - chopping about.
GOLD (futures) - flat
Bit Coin - nothing - needs to break 65k for a play.
FX
Dollar (DXY) - down here again. Expecting this to continue to roll over - push a little bit more.
USDJPY - perfectly in trend.
EURJPY - looks very strong.
BONDS
TLT - Looking for a bond bounce. Still a bond bear; but above 93 we'll have a bond bounce of size. Have to get above the weekly TL & so how we close this week is important. Closing in the 91 area today will do a strong job ... get back above 91... PERIOD.
TNX - not done seeing this fall away from 4.616... 4.2% still the base case. Could see the TL break & then we'll be in a better position to move into that 4.2% "this summer." Expecting this to continue to roll over - push a little bit more.
ZN (10Y) - side by side with the 2Y ... no pattern yet. Interrupted
ZT (2Y) - side by side with the 10Y ... no pattern yet. Interrupted.
10/2 spread - still looking for negative (-0.60%) but we were back into the wedge (daily) yesterday before fading back to the edge of it. Expecting to fall out of it.
INDEX
NYSE - Still green
SPX - 5292 PT & then we'll see what happens
SPY - "U" shaped on support. 521.50 hourly served as support. Great way to end the week if you are bearish.
IWM - 210 weekly rejection held - fell under 205.
QQQ - Broke both levels of support. Filled the gap. New PT 445.34
VIX - Crushed. Tagged weekly 11.31 support & moved higher. Tagged the 200-day resistance. Looking for a 13.00 gap fill & then 12.50 PT. The weekly $10.60 is STILL the level to watch. VIX needs above 14.49 to breakout
BXM - a LOT OF CALL SELLING & PUT BUYING IN THE SPX. Not Broken. BXM breaks 1850 market could get ugly selling, key area
SVXY - Evening Star Reversal weekly.
CHASE
AVGO below 1350 down to 1330, 1325 stay below 1370. AVGO 1325 tagged, next is 1307
AMZN below 177.5 comes down to 175, 173.9
CRWD 329 rejected, back to 316, 310
COST buy the rumor sell the news, below 805 we have 800, 789
HIMS call buyers still coming in
MSFT approaching 409 below 412. MSFT pushing down fast to 407
MNST pushing down to 49.9
META see what happens near 453, rolling over below 463.
MU below 124 pushing down to 120, 116.28
NVDA below 1098 back to 1065
QQQ 451.3 tagged, approaching 449.5. QQQ breaking support at 449 and also secondary support at 446.39, may 15th gap-up being filled
SMCI below 794, next is 745
SPX 5220 tagged and bounced on trendline, here comes real test against 5255 rejection here and bears come back in. SPX rejected and came back in, now below 5220 we have 5200
HONORABLE MENTIONS
AMBA - oh my; Above the down slopping 200day now. Will be tough to hold the 50-week. Likely goes sideways from here. "Short the Rip" -
AMZN - rolling over; gap fill 173.92 daily PT ... IT IS GOING THERE. AMZN - hit PT. 173.92 gap fill. 170 as an overshoot PT.
AVGO - 55-DAY ma SHORT PT. 1370 hourly was a nice rejection. Has to break the TL weekly & the 10-weekly ... still in a trend weekly.
BJ - doing well.
COST - profit taking. Needs to break the 21-day for a cont short. Stay below 805 daily for a short play w/ PT 789 then 777 PT daily. Also - 787 weekly needs to bust for a cont short.
CROX - looks good.
CHWY - holding really well; still looks bullish. 22.28 daily resistance tagged. Stay above 21.20 weekly to keep going. Intraday - be careful of 21.20. Has to get back above ...
CRWD - hit 329 & petered out; they are coming for it. 318 held; impressive. that was PT in time. Needs 0.28¢ to turn red. 307.55 short pt.
CRM - 218 PT hit in the premarket. Cheers if you took that. Found support on weekly 212.
DKNG - Kiss off; H&S weekly & then a gap down; this is done.
DELL - Hit Sam's 136 short PT (cheers if you took that). Now we have 131 PT (10-week) support.
GPS - keep it below 26.34 hourly.
GLW - 36 weekly breakout -
HIMS - still buying it; they are driving it higher.
INTC - busted; Not interested in this right now.
HD - dumped into the 100-week.
MDB - took out support; through all of it. Selling of size.
META - wait for 453; certainly it is rolling over. This is an "AI honey"
MSFT - ugly but has not rolled over. In trouble. 409 weekly PT taken out - now likely fades into 407 daily w/ a possible overshoot into 405.76 daily.
MU - 116.28 short PT.
MRVL - took out the 55-day MA. Still looks short.
MCD - has issues. At the 200-week... but it's not ready..
NVDA - keep it under 1118 weekly. How is that hard? 1064.75 weekly short PT. 1150 daily or 1132 hourly are levels to keep it under for a short.
NOW - chase short; cut under the 200-day. 678 and 660 PT's hit yesterday and moved all the way to 640.
NTAP - in the "SWING IDEA" channel. The NVDA WEB. Doing rather well.
ONON - looks good.
SBUX - get back inside the weekly Keltner channel.
SMCI - SHORT - if 800 then 745
TSLA - stay above 180; 10/21 weekly is crossing; that is really the only thing that get's Sam's attention right now for TSLA; no interest here really.
TSCO - a little extended but ... on a monthly keep it above 251.
VLO - still see 200-day MA as short PT. (around the 142 area).
WBA - Get & stay above 15.89 weekly.
WDAY - Dumped through the 200-day. Cheers if you took that. Likely done going down for a while. Digests.
XLV - weak; fell under the 55-day. Trying to rise back above it.
VST - careful on utilities;
ZIM - congrats. Explosive strong move on weekly. Left the 200-day MA behind (near 11.00) with price touching 23.76 weekly. Stunning - but take care in this area.
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