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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael
Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.
For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!
Rithika's Chase Summary
it was a very boring morning...
Market is still bullish: VIX down to 10.60 wouldn't surprise by EOM...
PYPL nothing has changed but I gave some more bullish reasons...+ option flow...
GME there was my review of $12 floor...really interesting tidbit but only...
IWM reflexive bounce happened... but for only a scalp...
LUV - Elliot Management doesn't pick a fight they can't win...activism with $49 PT
GM + HOOD look good but XLF + MNST do not...yuck for action really; maybe tomorrow
SPX 5340, and QQQ 460.5 are the levels to stay above
Semi’s led last week and are still moving higher
TLT still a hard rejection off the 93 area
Breadth on small caps failing for a while now
Gold and silver having a strong retreat; still a trend long just digesting
AMZN needs above 185 for 187,189;
AMD below 164 came down into 160 and got supported
MSFT needs above 427 for 429,431
PYPL needs above 67.5 for 70
GM stay above 46.76 for 48,50
META above 497 for 500, 503 stop: 495
ARM 141 approaching above we have 143
SMCI above 794 we have 815, 834 stop: 785
HOOD pushing 23.5,25
XLF hanging around the 55 week looking weak
SMH above 253.64 pushing 255, 257
MNST down to 50, 48
Michael's Trading Room Summary
JUNE 10, 2024 AM
FOMC is this week; there will be an afternoon stream Wednesday from 2PM to 3PM as Sam evaluates the Fed's statements. Join that stream with the same link as you join the morning stream. Big AAPL event this week; this is the yearly AAPL WWDC event.
MAG7 - Sideways over the last 3 days; inside day so far today.
Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - back above 288 but still under 300; above 300 is "risk off" for the markets. Bit of a chop
IWF:IWD - Stalled out Friday @ highs. Still above all moving averages. Massive Moves - it's a market of NVDA.
INTERMARKET
T2104 - in sell mode. sideways muck.
T2123 - Breadth stopped rising & has continued to fade into the 55-day MA.
T2126 - Red - Soggy.
WTI CRUDE - up a wee bit this morning. Still in a wide range. Little OIL pop ... pricing is pressured all along the curve. Still have the intervention collar. Need sustainable price rallies would only come from demand improvement.
GOLD (futures) - bit of a reflexive bounce which brought it back above 2300 (barely). Friday was a big down day that moved us almost 100 points.
Nat Gas - testing above 3.00 again. Still in a wider range.
Bit Coin - Started to sell Friday ... under 70k; tightly wound and sideways. Losing momentum.
FX
Dollar (DXY) - solid push last week - back above 105 daily. 105.50 may act as a minor resistance. Above 105.76 would be very bullish but expecting it to get whacked back down.
USDJPY - 158 daily / weekly resistance.
BONDS
TLT - Large gap down Friday & then again this morning. wide range on weekly. 93 was easy; getting above that - not so easy. Rejected hard from that level.
TNX - big expansion day Friday; gapped up again this morning. Still looking for 4.66% by the EOY. Still expecting 4.2% at some point this summer.
ZN (10Y) - Large down day Friday; down again this morning. Rolling together... (w/ 2Y)
ZT (2Y) - Large down day Friday; up slightly this morning. Rolling together... (w/ 10Y)
10/2 spread -
INDEX
NYSE - Large wedge on daily; flat top with a rising bottom. Broke & closed under 18k Friday. Breadth stopped rising & has continued to fade into the 55-day MA.
SPX - 5375 high Friday; Closed under 5350. Bullish on the weekly; Above 5340 (Sam's Yearly Target). Get below 5340 for a short into a gap to fill at 5293.
SPY - 536.89 high set Friday; Testing 533 this morning in the premarket. Still inside Friday's range - testing Friday's lows. get below 534 for a scalpers short.
IWM - Does not participate ... soggy. Double Whammy. Hit from AI weakness & higher yields. Well below the 55-day MA. Breadth on small caps failing for a while now
QQQ - 461.50 - break under that for a scalpers short.
VIX come back down to fill gap at 12.4 no energy today
SVXY - slightly red; no drama.
CHASE
ARM 141 approaching above we have 143
AMZN needs above 185 for 187,189; but markets needs to hold up
AMD below 164.5 comes down to 160,155
GM stay above 46.76 for 48,50
META above 497 for 500, 503 stop: 495
MSFT needs above 427 for 429,431
MNST down to 50,48
PYPL needs above 67.5 for 70
QQQ 460.5 pt
SMCI above 794 we have 815, 834 stop: 785
SPX - if market can get below 5341 we can see 5293, otherwise sideways
Added to S&P-500 ... (3) names ...
KKR - added to S&P-500.
CRWD - added to S&P-500. Exciting the cyber space... not a whole bunch. Sam seen a big call position roll out. Still bullish.
GDDY - added to S&P-500.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
AVGO - nice follow-through - looks good... but needs to commit. Has done nothing wrong. Did not break. Digesting well... rejecting the daily bollinger bands. Above 1438 & we're off to the races.
ARM - still kinda good; above the 10W. Almost tagged 141.70... likely goes there. 142.90 daily resistance. Still looks good.
AMZN needs above 185 for 187,189; but markets needs to hold up
AZN - great breakout; into a channel of resistance. (76 / 76.50 is the mean).
CELH - got hit; bounced on the 200-day MA. 100W possible in time. Cheers if you took that. 10/21 has not broke down yet. 50-week could bounce short term (overshoot into 62 area).
AMD - opened below 164; gnarly. Bearish Expansion. Tried but has not broken. Shorts can use 164.50 weekly as a stop.
DELL - came down into 10-w
DXCM - tagged the 200-day MA. Digesting.
FOSL - not a meme - having a heck of a time moving higher.
GME - MEME chasers. High IV. Elevated Premiums -
GLD - strong retreat. H&S - looking for the trigger.
GDX - has not broke the trend.
GOLD / SILVER RATIO - still strong.
GLW - weekly breakout. well outside of the weekly keltner - back inside the weekly bollinger.
GM - pushing higher. 46.76 is the level to get / stay above.
HIMS - stalled daily. Bullish weekly.
HOOD - still in trend & making $$ from crypto & GME.
NKE - has options coming in. Trying to get above 10/21 ...
NVDA - 10 to 1 split. At 126.00 it's a market cap greater than AAPL. Shorts need to keep it below 120.00$. 116.53 then 110.37 as short pt's.
OKTA - bounce on the 200-day.
PYPL - 67.50 area. Needs to get above. This is the Trade of the week - looking for a financed Call spread; Sam will post it into the Trade of the week channel.
SMCI - really soggy.
SNAP - has not triggered.
SBUX - stalled at the 55-day MA. Calls still coming in. Holding above 80.00$ ...
SLV - strong retreat. 25.90 possible
SHOP- 64.20 is the level to get above.
TJX - still looks good.
VIRC - new highs; no real good options... wide bid / ask... nasty.
LUV - Elliot Group announced a 1.9 billion position... Keep it above 30.00 weekly.
XLU - breakdown at 70.00$ monthly support.
XLF - likely shows it's colors into the end of the month (red).
XME - short term busted; tagged the 100-day.
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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 6/10/24