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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael
Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.
For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!
Rithika's Chase Summary
Not only are equities higher but so are bonds!
My baseline bet:
SPX 5200 PT now support
QQQ 445.45 PT now support. Let's see if we can get/stay > 449.34 ATH
TLT still working into 93
BEST CHASE Past Week: AAPL to 188.30 with overshoot to 191. Almost there
Best Chase Today: NVDA > 925 TO to 950 PT but many semis are rocking higher.
SMCI into 886; above brings 927
AMD needs to get above 157.70 to push into 164.46
Meme Mania on break as GROWTH plays within Tech, Semis, Bitcoin move higher with my 10Y yield falling into 4.33 PT.
AAPL above 186 pushed into 188.5 next is 191
ORCL setting up a pattern of breakout above 122 can see 125
MSTR holds above 1350 can see 1395,1464
NVDA pushing into 936,943
anything below 300 on the DXY/US10Y ratio is bullish the market , u can see how we have rose higher as we are breaking down
DIS pushing down to 100 target
XLE bouncing on EIA report of large crude draw (bullish). Needs to break/stay below 92.22 at 55D to continue lower. with refiners.
DIS just tagged its 50W at 101.42 and is bouncing intraday
CRWD above 335 pushing to 338
GOOGL above 172 next is 173.6,175
SMCI pushing into 886 above that 927
Michael's Trading Room Summary
MAY 15, 2024 AM
Indexes higher, bonds higher, dollar & yields lower ... that is the matrix. Retail Sales were soft but...
Sam & Craig are doing a Macro 2 Micro at 4pm.
MAG7 - blue sky's breakout.
Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - coming down to test 279; breaking below that would be very market bullish;
IWF:IWD - looking for a change - have not seen that change yet.
INTERMARKET
T2100 - came back in
T2126 - came back in
WTI CRUDE - soggy sideways. H&S pattern.
Bit Coin - starting to look bullish; watching the proxies. Sam posted in Slack on this. Potential breakout above 65k ... it could be a very explosive move higher.
FX
Dollar (DXY) - supported at 104.50; getting firm.
USDJPY - fading; not sure if there was an intervention.
BONDS
TLT - expected bullish rise into 93 area; 91.30 (55day MA) and above that into 200-day MA. that is working. nice follow through.
TNX - 4.33% is an area that Sam has talked about as support level. We'll see what happens when we get there.
ZN (10Y) - caught a bid - moving slowly higher.
ZT (2Y) - caught a bid - moving slowly higher.
10/2 spread - expecting a further fade.
INDEX
SPX - market is excited about the CPI print. Made it to 5200 PT. Level by Level.
SPY - look for a top;
IWM - gapped up but has faded all morning. Still outside yesterdays range.
QQQ - 445 tagged perfectly. Spiked higher into the next level of resistance. 449.34 weekly resistance. 445.34 hourly support; bearish below & bullish above.
VIX - broke under 13.00
SVXY - large breakout above yesterday's price.
CHASE
AVGO - breakout; stay above 1370
Bit Coin - Potential bitcoin breakout above 65,000
CRWD above 335 pushing to 338
DIS pushing down to 100 target
GOOGL above 172 next is 173.6,175
MSTR holds above 1350 can see 1395,1464
NVDA pushing into 936
ORCL setting up a pattern of breakout above 122 can see 125
TLT pushing to 91.30 then 93
QQQ pushing into 449.3 resistance
SPX 5264 tagging premarket; SPX above 5270 next is 5290 meltup
SMCI pushing into 886 above that 927
UNH above 515, next is 525.6
XLE pushing down into 92.2
HONORABLE MENTIONS
China ADRs, Utilities & Miners still working. XLP is rotation. Energy Plays are still weak.
AAPL - 191 PT. Still working.
AVGO - breakout; stay above 1370
AMD - break above 157.70 hourly for a cont long play.
AI - bearish engulfing on the daily; tomorrow should see some weakness.
AMZN - weak today but "big picture" it's still fine on the trend.
BABA - chopping at the 200-day MA. Expecting digesting at that level.
CVNA - the MEME craze has gotten quiet.
CADL - still great.
COST - doing well but we have WMT earnings on deck & this will move because of WMT.
ENPH - blahh. Mess. Under the down-slopping 200-day MA. trouble below 99 ... opportunity above 122
EWW - needs to get back above.
FCX - digest the 52 area.
FOUR - earnings are over - continues to the upside. Now above the 200 & the 55-day MA.
FOSL - popped above the 55-day MA. Hitting 1.25 weekly MA's.
GLD - fine; swing or trend is fine.
GIS - upgraded but didn't seem to move the needle.
HIMS - Needs to get above 14
IIPR - still looks good.
JOE - SKY
MP - needs to get above 19.
MGIC - pushing higher.
NU - needs to get above 12.24
NVDA - "scoop" pattern forming. It's boring but predictable; you traded it right? Cheers. Strong pop higher attracting a lot of calls. 950PT
ORCL - alerts popped this. Needs to get above 122
OPEN - nice follow through.
PLUG - 3.75 daily is the resistance hit;
PDD - sideways at 140 daily. Needs to get out of 138 and then break 134; it's slip in the middle on hourly.
QCOM - really pushing.
RDFN - nice follow through.
RKT - needs to get back above.
RNA - working well
SMCI - 886 then 927 PT's
SLV - fine; swing or trend is fine.
SPWR - downgraded. Fell back to the 100-day
SE -looks better; slow. Needs to get back above the 100MA.
TECK - shake n bake
TECH - nice gap above the 200-MA's. Extended but it's staying above.
TPH - still bullish. In the right space.
TSM - semi's are still hot.
VLO - 152.35 gap fill. Will it tag or break ?
WMT - earnings on deck. Needs a 61.50 daily breakout. Will affect COST.
XLE - pointing towards the 55-day MA. Watching XLF to join this lower. Soft. toying with 92.22
ZIM - stay below 19.22 for a cont short. Nice roll-over.
IIPR, QCOM, FIS - all pushing. TSM too.
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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 5/15/24