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Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 2/12/25
Folks I see on X seem confused why markets are moving higher, to which I remind: TGA TGA TGA. That and bullish option flow and the ‘clench’ of earnings season AND ‘clench’ of volatility. Add to that, Trump announced at 2:34 PM ET his gameplan for RECIPRICOL TARIFFS. Many don’t believe him on this: I do. Why is it market bullish? Because now the market at least knows what to expect and can price it in/out. Better than 60% tariffs on China!!
Speaking of China, my BABA bet from $68 in Jan (1 yr ago) while navigating all the twists & turns since, has reached my stated PT: $120. Above that, and China Tech in particular, Chinese ADRs in general, will go parabolic. Clients KNOW I stated LAST OCT that I did not expect this parabolic ramp then or for the DEC bump. I kept saying it looked more like March. Well, as it happens, we are in mid-Feb so PLACE YOUR BETS ;-). We are getting much closer now.
SWING UPDATES:
NVDA trade I structured just last week Feb 6th for APRIL financed call spread is up 1000%. That’s why I trade options on equities, selectively. Lots of other trades are doing well too…
TLT & FXY - bounced violently today after dropping violently yday. I warned yday that the USDJPY hitting 154.46 55D was likely to be rejected. It was rejected.
GLD - continued higher as part of this basket trade even though I said GLD would likely digest here at 270. It still hasn’t this week but I am still suspect! And watching SLV > 29.50 next.
FCX - rec’d last week on bullish engulfing wkly candle opened > 39.10 key level to push higher (=6% today) on way to 41.50 100D.
CSCO - rec’d last week gapped higher on earnings last night but hit exactly the 78.6 Fib resistance of 66.20 before retreating. Still looks good for swing long > 60.
UPST - day 2 of getting above 88.72 Mo Resistance before selling off sharply. AFRM in similar BNPL space.
SE - continues to move higher > 117.85 PT on way to 136 as posted past few weeks. Earnings 3/3.
BABA - hit my $120 PT from 1 yr ago, so above will suck in the FOMU + FOMO crowd.
CONTRIBUTOR HIGHTLIGHS: See Slack Channels For Details/Updates
Rithika’s posted AAPL chase was closed up 111%! She is now focused on COIN + AMD.
Archna is trading CPNG higher with call spread as well as a very profitable TEM call spread. Also, SE.
Alexander has a tiger by the tail in TEM pushingn 86! Plus his other very profitable swing long positions in: HIMS, HQY, GILD, ABBV, LLY, ISRG, BSX, PODD & just added GEHC post earnings yday.
EARNINGS:
ABNB - had bullish flow as I called out this morning with large Jan ‘27 leaps added this morning that were ATM for $140 with a large wkly squeeze ready to ignite likely higher. Afterhours it is pushing $163.40. That worked.
DKNG - also looked bullish + had bullish option flow + had Superbowl guidance that should help it move higher. It tagged $50 AH. I gave 51.30 as upper limit for move.
TWLO - was bearish as warned it was very extended at 151 monthly resistance. Earnings AH saw it tag 123 briefly (exactly the Mo support level I gave), settling at 136 the 21D.
IRM - removed as trend long yday as posted in trend slack channel, ahead of earnings AH where it broke 102.5 wkly suport closing at 95.25 with the MAR 90P in play.
CHASES:
TSLA - gave 347 to 359 (same targets on way down when shorting!). Next level is back above 359 to 362.79, 368.74, on way to 375 IF 345 100D holds.
