Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc

Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc

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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 1/14/25
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Recorded Live Trading Room

Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 1/14/25

With #LTR Notes - by Samantha, Rithika and Mikey

Michael B's avatar
Michael B
Jan 14, 2025
∙ Paid
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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 1/14/25
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For RECORDING & summary notes: Join PRO in Substack for $950 /yr. Includes the full recording of Samantha's live trading room each daily with summary notes.

Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary 1/14/25

SWING CALLOUTS:

Fabulous continuation Swing/Trend longs in rec’d LNG, EQT from last year and AR, CRK this year.

  • The election bump in LNG alone is up from 193 to 242!

  • Client Anne’s rec’d of EQT at 36 is now pushing on ATH at 52

  • My rec’d AR trendline breakout at 32 now 40.

  • And my spec rec’d CRK has risen 17 to 21.

Swing long KMI + WMB since MAY of last year, are doing amazingly. (Thank you client Aaron for this idea!) WMB picked up another 9K contracts for MAY $60C today.

Fabulous continuation short in MCD into my PT which I was convinced would happen from OCT but then said 3 wks ago said: “It’s Time”. JUST HIT: 279.50!!

I am nothing if not persistent ;-)

CHASE CALLOUTS:

ANF continued short, from the anemic bounce pre-market into near 139 (but below key 142) again rolled over to 129. Needs to break this for more: 122.25 next.

LLY short caught before I even knew the news that they guided low for 2025. This was a great rejection of 800 pre-market (strong monthly resistance), down + through key 742 PT. Needs to break this to continue into 672.62 PT. Add time.

META short into 55D overshot and is just not strong < 603/609, but ideally needs to get back < 593.

MACRO CALLOUT:

Bonds did not care about the monthly tick lower in PPI, nor should they. But they will care once my 10Y2Y yield curve hits +45, which is fast approaching (now .426). And they will probably care about CPI next month, given the higher energy prices we had, but for tomorrow’s Dec print … not-so-much. Bonds will really care about BOJ hiking rates if they follow through. For now, the rising JPY 10Y yield spiking to 1.25% will start to matter to US bonds and Yen.

TLT Feb 85C/85P bull risk reversal is cheap here (cost is a nickel), if you want to play a potential bounce on CPI, TRUMP, PEACE, YEN bounce… and yet, I have nothing yet technically to say bonds are done going down.

MARKET VIEW & THEMES:

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