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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 3/14/24

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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael

Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.

For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!


GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS

Rithika's Chase Summary

XLE pushing higher with the value rotation
Oil, yields and dollar are up
SPX 5130 PT
QQQ 439 break for a short to 434,430
SVXY sitting on 110 has to break to involve more sellers , we could see selling creep in tomorrow
breadth 2 bar reversal, breaking below selling could pick up
AMD tagged 189 target, could shimmy here we have 183 lower
COIN 248 tagged and over shot to 242, below we have 236,230
TSLA 167.50 has been my QTRLY support PT but it usually snakes around here a wk or two before we can see IF it holds; otherwise, TSLA can easily drop into 155
PYPL above 64 next is 65.4,67
CELH pushing to 100
SE higher after earnings, 66.20 next above 62.50
HOOD 18.90 resistance; careful as bitcoin looks TIRED + COIN is rolling over so... not bullish UNLESS 17.21 wkly close holds
PTON has $7 call flow coming in
SQ coming down to 83 could become a good buy again
Strong USDJPY is the MACRO REASON for yields spike and market weakness PLUS strong retail sales and PPI causing USD + 10y to move higher. This as I said premarket should cause puts to pay... IWM especially vulnerable with Solar plays ENPH given spiking yields.
NVDA short highest conviction below 888... AMD short working...
Time to lighten up on longs into OPEX Friday, FOMC Wednesday and EOQ choppiness...TLT to 92.83 makes sense
VIX - really love how this works...
Said past few days in my live trading room that it would tag 13.54 before reversing. It hit 13.55 - close enough - then move back up to 14.49 before likely 15.21 by Friday.
Not worried about market UNLESS/UNTIL we can get/stay above 15.69!


Share Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc

Michael's Trading Room Summary

MAR 14, 2024 AM

MAG7 - closed red - but had lifted off the lows of the session. Gapped slightly in the pre-market.

Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - pressing into 270 after closing near the HOD yesterday.

IWF:IWD - Still under the 10 & 20MA. Testing the 50MA again; closed at the lows & slightly up this morning. Growth is not strong.

Intermarket

T2104 - starting to see some selling. finally.

WTI Crude - Getting above 79.11 - still in play

GOLD (futures) - CAREFUL - if the market gets nervous over the USDJPY news this could see more

Bit Coin - Still hot;

FX

Dollar (DXY) - testing 103 again after closing below and red on the the day. Looks like 102.50 support holding on daily. Still don't see a strong resurgence in the dollar - this is just a "pop" - bid with the USDJPY.

USDJPY - Testing 148 from below; still holding inside MAR12 candle - but near the highs of that session. Daily 146.50 support seems to have held.

Bonds

TYX - 4.5 possible.

TLT - Another large gap down (below 94 now). Has been a week of red - each day closing down. Forming a "scoop" pattern weekly (w/ PT into 102 area) but not now. Still have a down slopping 200-day MA. Could see 93 in the short term.

TNX - testing 4.236% this morning - still looks like it wants to press higher this morning.

ZN (10Y) - Still looking lower - getting the gap closed.

ZT (2Y) - Still looking lower - getting the gap closed.

10/2 yield curve - still looking for 0.60%.

Index

SPX - 5130 level PT. Expect tomorrow to be weak.

SPY - having some softness.

IWM - protect if long - the higher yields are a headwind to small caps.

QQQ - Break 439 for a short play.

VIX - 13.54 got hit - NOW we can bounce off there

SVXY - sitting on 110; has to pick up speed under that hourly level. Won't be surprised to see this get below that 110 level hourly and see a weak day in the indexes tomorrow.

Chase

CELH pushing to 100

COIN 248 tagged and over shot to 242, below we have 236,230.

HOOD 17.21 support, 20.20 next resistance

PYPL above 64 next is 65.4,67

URA heading down to 26

SE higher after earnings, 66.20 next above 62.50

TSLA 167 tagged, below we have 160 but 166.66 is a daily support level

Honorable Mentions

ANF - bounced off that 10-week.

ARM - bullish above 140 weekly

AEO - getting a little lift.

BMY -0 hit 53.50 and rejected off resistance.

CROX - needs to get into 130 - (above that) on weekly for higher.

COIN - now it's in play.

CELH - the "next possible SMCI style play" - if 82 then 102 lol... current weekly resistance is 101.20.

CPRT - getting noticed. Like it

DKNG - doing nothing.

DKS - out of this world. Crazy bullish.

ENPH - always rolls over in a yield spike. Mixed bag. Under the 55-day MA.

EBAY - hitting strong resistance. Should digest here at 52 weekly area.

GOOGL - still bullish. Like it. Anything above 138 weekly is bullish. May form a morning star reversal off the weekly. Still looks good long.

GEO - trying 12.42 weekly resistance.

GLD - careful.

HOOD - longs have a care here at 19- weekly / monthly resistance. Next long PT is 20.00. Breaking 18 offers 17 hourly.

INTC - only bullish back above 45 weekly.

$M - buyout offer - getting a bounce.

MCD - still strong selling.

MSFT - held above the close - 420.82 was next PT. Now looks like it is pulling an "AMD" style move (so look at that weekly & see that short "after" it failed)

META - still a short. Looks great. 469 short pt.

NVDA - still a short duration short. They are going to nail this thing. 823 PT. Break 860 for a move into 823

PYPL - above 61.30 offers 64- get above that for 66 - then stay above that into upper bollinger.

PDD - next level to break is 118.88

PTON - showing UOA @ the 7$ strike puts & 6$ call strikes.

RNA - still bullish; perfect tag into 25.74 weekly resistance. Likely digests now after getting to PT & resistance.

ROKU - may pop but does not look interesting.

SE - continues higher after earnings. hitting 62.50 weekly. 66.50 is next. Still strongly in play.

SHOP - getting above 78 would be "key"

SQ - 83 likely a good buy.

SMH - back to 213 once it "gives way" but that has not happened yet.

SLV - still green.

TSLA - 166.67 daily minor support. 167.50 weekly support & PT has been hit. Cheers 4 you. This is "Quarterly" level as well. Below we have 155.25 ... looking for a rebound at some point - but no buying in sight yet.

WSM - out of this world. Crazy bullish.

URA - 28.50 resistance; likely will be fine but this is a long term long play - not days and weeks but months. Careful in the short term - could see a fade into the 50-week or around 26$ weekly. Protect if long. If you are trading the short - keep it under the 28.50 weekly level.

$X - still see 36 short PT.

XME - wrong horse.

XLE - 89.74 weekly breakout. still cont.


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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Recorded Live Trading Room
Every trading day, Samantha runs a Live Trading Room from 9 - 11 am ET for CLUB/EDGE clients - complete with custom engagement, option analysis, macro event risks and market moving news. She captures the move before it happens & sets up the trade for clients across CHASE, SWING & TREND timeframes. CATCH HER RECORDINGS HERE ON SUBSTACK - posted by 2pm ET - except Fridays when she reviews ALL OPEN/CLOSED trades in her portfolios for CLUB/EDGE clients.