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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 6/25/24

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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael

Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.

For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!


GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS

Rithika's Chase Summary

FROM SAM -
Market is digesting after a -16% pullback in NVDA in 3 days.
Not likely done - I expect more weakness into quarter end/Friday.
Bigger picture: I'm still focused on lower yields & lower gold & higher USD.
No macro moving news until GDP & JOBLESS CLAIMS Thursday; PCE Friday.
Best looking trend/swing longs: LLY, NVO
New breakout trend/swing longs: AMGN, MRK
Con't breakout trend/swing Mag7 longs: GOOGL, MSFT
Likely breakout ATH Mag7 longs: META > 510, AMZN > 191.70
Still like UBER > 73 + TSLA > 189.70 WKLY CLOSE

rithika chase summary -
GOOGL approaching 181,183 above 179
AMZN trying to get above 188 for 191
TSLA still stuck in its range needs to stick above 186.5
NVO bullish above 144.78 for 146, 148
CCL pushing to 17.84, needs above for 19.12
MRK above 133 we have 136.50
CHWY target tagged, overshooting 28.45 is resistance careful
NVDA 121 pivot 125 gap fill, then lower gap at 116
NEW
AMD breaks 157 then it has room to 153


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Michael's Trading Room Summary

JUNE 25, 2024 AM

MAG7 - still sideways - still riding the 10MA.

Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - 275 still appears to be the magic number; 280 is a minor resistance that continues to hold. 288 is a "close above" level for a continued weak market while breaking 275 offers a bullish market backdrop.

IWF:IWD - fell into the 20-day MA. Still bullish weekly.

INTERMARKET

T2100 - gapped down this morning. Hitting the 30-week. Weekly 10/21 has to cross for Sam to get bearish. Getting weaker... but not yet a trend reversal

T2104 - net volume - buying over selling is not very impressive.

T2126 -sideways.

WTI CRUDE - 82.00 daily resistance held (so far). Still inside last weeks price range.

GOLD (futures) - now firmly under 2330. Still in a wide range weekly.

Bit Coin - little bounce - still weak under the surface.

FX

Dollar (DXY) - still under 106; expecting this to get busy.

USDJPY - 160.00 a level of concern... we are almost there. BOJ - JGB 10Y back above 1.00%.

EURJPY - 171.50 resistance weekly ... level on watch.

EURUSD - 1.047 as PT.

BONDS

TLT - 94.50 resistance daily; fell premarket but still above 94.00$. Weekly has lower highs & lower lows.

TNX - still under 4.30$ ... 4.20% holding as weekly support.

INDEX

SPX - 5447 PT; break that for 5420 then 5400; needs a push. Bearish this week ...

SPY - 533 PT. Bearish this week ...

QQQ - 468 PT. we WILL hit this. Keep it below 476.50. Bearish this week ...

VIX - pinned

CHASE

AMD below 157 we have 153 on way to 151

AMZN trying to get above 188 for 191

CHWY target tagged, overshooting 28.45 is resistance careful

CCL pushing to 17.84, needs above for 19.12

GOOGL approaching 183

MRK above 133 we have 136.50

NVDA unfilled gap at 116.23, 121 pivot, 125 gap (right between two gaps)... sam thinks we hit 125 on nvda before 116

NVO bullish above 144.78 for 146, 148

SPY below 545 we have 542, 540

SPX 5447 hasnt even broken intraday, just chilling

TSLA still stuck in its range needs to stick above 186.5

QQQ sams lotto working keep it below 479 for 466

TREND

NVO - bullish above 144.78 cont trend.

LLY - cont trend. News gave it a pop.

HONORABLE MENTIONS

AMZN - prime is on July 16 / 17 ... generally runs into Prime day... but add time due to QQQ & NVDA volatility.

ASML - broke back down... 1005 weekly did not hold.

AMD - rolled over & continues to roll over; 153 then 151 PT in time. Stay below 164.46$

ARLP - the only winner.

BAC - sideways weekly at 40.00$.

BTU - sitting on the 200-week ... needs to turn around.

CCL - stay above 17.00 area hourly. Earnings this morning.

CMG - extended into an area of support... channel of chop.

CHWY - firm. popped into the 100-week. Careful ... 29.45 / 28.45 ... no surprise if it tags & comes back in. Very nice.

ENPH - 99.34 support.

FDX - if it can stick above 260 after the close it would be worthy of something.

GLD - looks trouble. No signal - just gut.

GOOGL - very pretty. Options are bullish. Weekly Breakout. Still trending above the 21-day MA. Look at the monthly to see how extended it is.

MU - great short. earnings after the close tomorrow.

META - making LH, LH, LH ... it's maybe better to just wait.

MRK - like it above 133. looks great.

NKE - reports on the 27th. OK.

NVo - bullish above 144.78 cont trend.

NVDA - Hit 115.00 measured move. Still looking for 115.50$ in regular trading hours ... eventually. It WILL tag that - at some point. 116.53 gap fill. Will hit 125.10 in time as well... which get's hit first?

SLV - gut says "be worried" about this one.

SEDG - hot mess.

SNOW - 122.77 PT about to tag.

TSLA - Needs 73.00

UBER - like this chart. Moving higher - get above 73.00 weekly for a cont to the measured move of ... 10.00$ (into 83.00). HAS TO get above 73.00$ weekly.

WMT - Selling here.

XME - solid selling.

XLE - only bullish for a short term rotation.


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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Recorded Live Trading Room
Every trading day, Samantha runs a Live Trading Room from 9 - 11 am ET for CLUB/EDGE clients - complete with custom engagement, option analysis, macro event risks and market moving news. She captures the move before it happens & sets up the trade for clients across CHASE, SWING & TREND timeframes. CATCH HER RECORDINGS HERE ON SUBSTACK - posted by 2pm ET - except Fridays when she reviews ALL OPEN/CLOSED trades in her portfolios for CLUB/EDGE clients.