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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 4/05/24

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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael

Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.

For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!


GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS

Rithika's Chase Summary

Seriously, the hair on the back of my neck is standing up on all the SIGNS that this market is done.
Risk Happens Fast.
Don't be complacent.
Market having a reflexive bounce, getting rejected at resistance 
VIX needs above 16.37 for 17.36
Breadth would need to turn around 180 for market to stabilize, selling off so far
SPX needs above 5183 for 5200,5220
QQQ pushing into 440 would need above to be bullish, below rejection is again a selloff
Pot stocks digesting after a bullish move
AMZN held over 183 resistance for 185, next above 185 is 188
AMD below 168.80 back to 164
ANF needs below 122,25 for 117,110
META held over 518  hit 522 into 525; in time 550,560
GOLD 17.50 approaching, next is  17.82,18.55
SLV above 24.51 next is 25.71,26
TSLA below 168 for 165,163


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Michael's Trading Room Summary

APR 5, 2024 AM

NFP numbers came in today; didn't help Russel because of yields but the rest are getting some relief.

MAG7 - Daily Out-Side bear bar; closed at lows of the session; gapped up mild in the premarket (back above the 20-day MA).

Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - PUSHING BACK TOWARDS 288

IWF:IWD - Daily MACD still below zero; MACD line still under the signal line as well. Holding at the 1.88 area daily - resting on the 100-day MA. Still under the 10, 20, & 50-day MA

INTERMARKET

T2100 - not going to close well; Adv Dec is coming back in weekly.

T2123 - breaking down.

T2126 - was waiting for a "tell" & we got it yesterday ... we are going lower.

WTI CRUDE - Still holding above 85.00 daily (barely).. could retest 83.. Still very firm.

GOLD (futures) - tapped 2300 before pulling back; still above 2280. Starting to soften... take care of your gold & miners. Consider taking profits or rolling out or tightening your stops.

Nat Gas - tapped 2.00 but stalled & failed to push through.

Bit Coin - Sam said she did not trust the bounce in Bit Coin yesterday; we rejected off the 69k area and fell back below 67k

FX

Dollar (DXY) - after hitting 104 we popped back upwards and are now back above 104.50$ daily.

USDJPY - fell below 151 but rallied back above and now is above 151.50

BONDS

IRX - likely a big move coming.

TLT - large gap lower (back below 92 daily).

TNX - rejected 4.4% and faded

INDEX

BXM - so extended. breaking down hourly. "Sell the Rip" in play.

NYFANG - still sideways at weekly highs.

SPX - Sam's traders gut told her not to trust the moves higher yesterday; and then a negative 2% intraday move happened. So - cheers. Expecting a bounce & then "sell the rip"

SPY - just tired. 516.60

IWM - worried about this breaking.

DIA - broke the trend; small caps likely are next.

QQQ - Sam said we'd likely break the TL - & we did. Hit 435.11 & now we are bouncing. 50% bounce would give us 439 / 440 area.

VIX - decent move higher yesterday; triggered at 2pm from a combination of negative gamma & other events stacked up. Weekly Bollinger is opening up as expected. vix needs above 16.37 for 17.36. Looking for 15.69 daily and then maybe a bounce.

SVXY - may see a close below the 10-week ... been a while since we had that. Breaking 107 daily should offer 105 & then 102.60.

CHASE

AMZN over 183 back to 185,188; AMZN 185 tagging, 188 next

AMD below 168.80 back to 164

ANF needs below 122,25 for 117,110

META over 518 target 520,522 stop: 516

QQQ pushing too 439,440

SPX needs above 5183 for 5200,5220

TSLA below 168 for 165,163

TREND

CCJ - looking good but is going to take years. URA & URNM look good

LLY - still like it

NVO - pulling back to support.

VKTX - 82 weekly / 84 daily resistance; digesting nicely.

VRTX - a little dangerous; could fade back a little more. Huge player in an important space.

CRSP - came back down so frustrating but still above the 200day MA.

MREO - trying to move higher; needs above 3.75 weekly to cont.

RNA - 25.75 weekly resistance. 20.80 needs to hold.

XBI - has to get back above 91 weekly.

XRT - not bullish; careful. Small caps risk.

IPO - looks like it is going to roll-over.

HONORABLE MENTIONS

AMZN - most bullish chart. 188 PT.

ADBE - broken. broke under 500 weekly...

ARM - 117.82 PT.

AMD - 164 PT.

ANF - still a great short. Seems like it needs a trigger; leave the 122 weekly area - then the lower levels.

CADL - popped above 11.00 yesterday ... congrats if you took that.

CGC - the 50-week MA still resistance. Still strong above the 8-day MA.

CROX - closed this position.

CELH - popping; still in weekly trend - with a technical bounce on the 10-week.

CDXC - just wow.

CRMD - good above 4.34 weekly. Volumes are bullish (not great but bullish).

CRNX - wicked thin... but bullish.

$C - closed this position.

EGY - thin - options are poop. been doing great

GM - closed this position.

GOOGL - trying

GALT - dang. Still looks good; volumes are there too.

GOLD 17.50 approaching, next is 17.82,18.55

HUBS - long anything above 660 weekly.

INTC - a minor support at 38 (PT).

LULU - still a short

MSFT - trying.

META weekly bullish engulfing.

MSOS - back below 10.30 weekly but still not considered "out of the game" - looks fine. Bearish Engulfing daily. MSOS - 10.30 weekly breakout/ 10.64 daily is a level to stay above & we didn't. Still consider MSOS as the one to ride for now - its soft but still think it's ok.

NVDA - 860 PT hit - looking for 875 now. Looks tired.

NKE - "if / then" - get above 92.64

PLTR - hit daily resistance & fell out.

RTX - 105 weekly is next area.

ROKU - broke the weekly TL. Now that is toast.

SLV - coming back down; warned earlier about a fade into Friday.

SMCI - 886 and then 800 PT

SMH - down to 213

XME - got tapped back; still a great scoop. a good bottom fishing play.


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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Recorded Live Trading Room
Every trading day, Samantha runs a Live Trading Room from 9 - 11 am ET for CLUB/EDGE clients - complete with custom engagement, option analysis, macro event risks and market moving news. She captures the move before it happens & sets up the trade for clients across CHASE, SWING & TREND timeframes. CATCH HER RECORDINGS HERE ON SUBSTACK - posted by 2pm ET - except Fridays when she reviews ALL OPEN/CLOSED trades in her portfolios for CLUB/EDGE clients.