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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 5/10/24

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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael

Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.

For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!


GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS

Rithika's Chase Summary

QQQ still holding firm, approached 442 and 445, next is 449
DXY intraday rejection is bidding up the stocks again
SPY 522 reached , 524.9 next
IWM above 204 for 209 again with weak
VIX coming down into my 12.70 wkly trendline support means... we likely bounce here next week, but it is not very worrying until/unless we get back above 14/14.49/15.2
COIN below 206 target 200,193
TSLA below 172 approaching 166. I 68
ZIM 17 reached after some digestion 19.22 next
SPX 5230 tagged, next is 5256,5264
FOUR heading towards  66.86
AMZN 190 approaching, 195,200 next
QQQ 445 approaching, 447,449 next 
SMH above 224.9 for 226.52
SMCI above 834 for 865,900
SPY 522 tagged next is 524.6
NVAX above 10.18 for 12.50


Share Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc

Michael's Trading Room Summary

MAY 10, 2024 AM

SAM POSTED IN SLACK - check out the "Samantha's Market Thoughts"

Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - below 300 which supports equity markets.

IWF:IWD - hit resistance & came back in.

INTERMARKET

T2104 - above the March high; very bullish.

WTI CRUDE - popped up a little bit.

GOLD (futures) - popped up a little bit.

Bit Coin - still under resistance.

FX

Dollar (DXY) - softened a little bit. Stopped going up for now;

USDJPY - has to get above the red line. Sam still watching for a third intervention. Eyes on JGB-10Y.

BONDS

TLT - Looking for the MOVE index to weaken. that will help the "warm housing" thesis. Needs to get above 90.67 weekly.

TNX - under 4.688 is equity bullish. popped a bit but expecting it does not last.

INDEX

SPX - lots of gaps lower; 5235 then 5256.

SPY - 522 tagged next is 524.6

IWM - bullish volume (T2104); follow-through with a 10/21 cross.

QQQ - above 442 - now 445 & then 447 & then "we'll see"

VIX - 12.74 hourly PT tagged. Getting a little lift now. Could see something next week.

BXM - (7) days of green; likely digests here.

SVXY - (7) days of green - that is extended. the risk is that we have volatility over the weekend. This is too stretched. Still green even with the pullback today in the indexes

CHASE

AMZN 190 approaching, 195,200 next

COIN below 206 target 200,193

CPNG above 22.4 next is 23.7

FOUR heading towards 66.86

NVAX above 10.18 for 12.50

QQQ 445 approaching, 447,449 next

SPY 522 tagged next is 524.6

SPX 5230 tagged, next is 5256,5264

SMCI above 834 for 865,900

SMH above 224.9 for 226.52

TSLA below 172 approaching 168 / 166

ZIM 17 reached 19.22 next

SWING

Lots of posts in the swing channel; take some time to read that.

XLU - posted under Swing. Getting "bespoke" - it's considered over-bought. likely to stay above 70.00$ on the weekly. 71.89 weekly shake n shimmy.

HONORABLE MENTIONS

AKAM - done.

AZN - cont higher w/ breakout on weekly. 76.56 breakout. Extended.

AMZN - is fine. digesting 188.00. Bullish.

ANET - wow. great.

ANF - expected the bounce & got it; todays move will matter - now that we have popped up into the bounce PT.

ASML - has not bounced as much as AVGO or ANET).

BAC - still not weak

COST - the "trade of the week" has worked great; cheers if you took that. Doing fine.

CELH - wow; great move up.

EWH - gapped over-night. Hitting the 200-day (down slopping) ... likely gets violently sideways & bases here for a while. Still see $18.00 - looks good.

EWW - above 69.60 should be very nice.

FOUR - testing 55 & 200-day MA. Has work to do.

GLD - Has not quite filled the gap.

MARA - earnings. the only miner worth looking at really.

MREO - get above 3.35 - this is the trigger

MMM - working higher. Lot's of volume coming in.

NVDA - funky. Been making lower highs & lower highs (LH's). 864 - as a PT

NVAX - blow-out move this morning. Could be a while before it is done. Meaning Sam would not be surprised to hit 13.70 weekly in RTH - (it hit it in the premarket). Stay above 9.00$

OPEN - needs time. stabilizing.

RDFN - looks good - it's just starting.

SBUX - stay above $74.48

SLV - careful; if you are playing the bounce we could see a move lower to close a lower gap.

TSLA - short below 186; cont to fade lower. 168.68 hourly or 167 d/w PT.

TSM - 146.70 breakout.

TEVA - great breakout & follow-through.

VRTX - kinda scoop pattern. will hit it's head here. Once above it will be very good.

VALE - weekly base looks great. Tested the daily 55-day MA. No real "momentum" - needs energy. Break above 12.66 to get into +13.00$ area.

XLP - nearing 77.50 weekly.

ZIM - overshot the PT. 16.75 PT taken out. Extended. Likely see a pullback now to that PT level.


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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Recorded Live Trading Room
Every trading day, Samantha runs a Live Trading Room from 9 - 11 am ET for CLUB/EDGE clients - complete with custom engagement, option analysis, macro event risks and market moving news. She captures the move before it happens & sets up the trade for clients across CHASE, SWING & TREND timeframes. CATCH HER RECORDINGS HERE ON SUBSTACK - posted by 2pm ET - except Fridays when she reviews ALL OPEN/CLOSED trades in her portfolios for CLUB/EDGE clients.