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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael
Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.
For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!
Rithika's Chase Summary
Firm rotation in the market into growth from value
SVXY pushing into 110.5 which is a fib level, but nothing bearish yet, market is not short-able while it remains green
Lots of sector showing strength
QQQ Sam still has 444 target with an extended overshoot to 472
Semis taking a little break to pave the way for a everything bubble rally
IWM 203.55 target met, next is 205, 207.21 above 203
SPX pushing 5050, 5038.50 below 5065
Coin pushed 187 target into 200,206, now needs to digest for 220
CVNA above 76 we have 80, 86
XBI pushed above 94 into our 99 target, now needs to digest as well
NFLX over 594, 615 next
NXPI above 248 we can see 253,260 ( stay above 239.91 on a weekly level)
SQ digested into our 75 target, now it pushes back into 79.63, 83; if it holds above
TSLA above 203 can push gap-fill at 206.70,212 but not Sam’s favorite
AAPL below 180.5 we peter down to 179
If NVDA could breaks 778, we could get a confirmation short down to 743, 721
PLTR above 23.88 we push to 25.10
Michael's Trading Room Summary
The White House meeting about the possible government shut-down is scheduled for Today.
Fed BlackOut starts at the end of the week.
PCE data this week likely becomes the focus for the markets.
IWF:IWD - large gap up pre-market & testing 1.95 again.
MAG7 - slightly gapped up this morning; recovered off the lows of yesterday but still closed red. This gap up this morning does not even push us back above 50% of yesterdays range. Still holding above the 10-day & 20-day MA.
Weighted Dollar / Yields - held between 280 / 275 & chopped about. This has been the case for many days now.
WTI Crude - a slight bounce in "oil"
GOLD - nothing here.
Bit Coin - On watch for 60k
Intermarket
T2104 - very little buying ... but it IS BUYING.
T2126 - no change
T2123 - no change
T2100 - no change
FX
Dollar (DXY) - still holding between 104 and 103.50.
USDJPY - 150.88 to 149.50 is our channel that continues to hold (daily). Threat here is of possible intervention - bigger threat here of "no intervention" and a significant rise above 152.
Bonds
IRX - the auctions yesterday still support a very sharp look of moving sharply higher.
TLT - strong push away from 94 daily resistance. gapped lower in the premarket.
TNX - Getting pushed back at 3.5 / 3.6%. Above that 4.36 would be "telling" but Sam does not expect that.
ZT (2Y) - fell into PT. Still looking for 101 to continue acting as stability.
ZN (10Y) - 109'16 daily seems to be acting as support.
10Y/2Y spread - expecting -0.60% still ... but holding sideways with a range -0.20 / -0.40.
Index
SPX - Still swing long; scalp short needs to break 5090, then 5080, then 5050, then 5038.70 short PT.
QQQ - soggy. No energy in the QQQ's. They are still buying it but no actions. Still have 444 with an overshoot into 472
SVXY - above 108.85 ... so no real volatility. Coming into 110.50 weekly resistance. Still bullish. Take care below 108.85 weekly.
IWM - have rotation.
DIA - now has AMZN in it.
CHASE
AMD if this stays below 174.23 we push to 170,168
AAPL below 180.5 we peter down to 179
CVNA holds 72 still - above 76 we have 80,86
IWM 203.55 met, next is 205,207.21 abpve 203
NFLX over 594, 615 next
NXPI above 248 we can see 253,260 ( stay above 239.91 on a weekly level)
SQ above 75 pushes back to 79.63, 83
TSLA above 203 can push gapfill at 206.70,212 but not sams favorite
XBI 99 target tagged, let it digest here for now
BIO-TECH
CLDX - an Alex call-out. See his channel to read up on this. 48 weekly breakout & now pushing into weekly 400MA. Measured move into 75$.
FHTX - on the radar as a AI "bio-tech" with connection to LLY. Hit the 100-week & got rejected. Above the 200-day MA (a flattening 200). Get & stay above the 100-MA weekly (or 8.10$ weekly).
RXRX - AI Bio-tech & NVDA investment.
IQV - pushing higher. (looks like SDGR). Productive.
NNOX - a NVDA add-on.
ABSI - above 4.56 weekly - very nice.
SDGR - AI Bio-tech still not in play. Stock looks good. Needs to get above the 200-day.
VEEV - above 219.32 weekly would be productive.
VKTX - weekly 32 breakout holding. Careful at 36 but still moving higher. Great - amazing play. Blue Sky. Could see some profit taking.
MDWD - 13.60 weekly breakout holding. More of a position play.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
AMD - chopping sideways weekly; weekly trend still in tack. Chase short working. 174 break... doing great. Squeeze is massive.
AAPL - 179 / 178 area still PT / this is soggy.
ALB - working; above 127.24 could push into 134.50 weekly.
ANF - well supported. Awesome.
BEAM - gene editing - needs a breakout above 36 (CRSP, EDIT, BEAM ... share space) & we have that breakout.
COIN - pulled back into weekly support then popped into 208 weekly; likley digests here.
CRWD - the gap fill callout has worked. Just a great play.
CPRT - 51.50 weekly breakout looking really good.
CEG - stunning. Amazing.
CVNA - fine; holding the gains. See this one a lot higher - likely to see shorts get squished. Has to get above 76.44 weekly. Still has a LOT of short interest in it.
ENPH - solar companies hates higher yields. Above the 10 & 21 week MA. Has no energy. Hit the 200-day & came back in. No energy daily. No energy with yields trying to rise.
GOOGL - take a breather on this. 138.80 PT... should be done here.
GLD - hanging out.
GDX - needs the dollar to soften a little bit.
HIMS - strong push after news (earnings)
JWN - keep it above 20.70 now.
KWEB - it's "ok"
LOW - get above 240; like this - but like $HD better.
LYFT - digesting where it needs to.
LLY - getting defended. Not selling off at all.
LI - 43.40 weekly breakout. A little extreme right? 47.22 weekly resistance. Still very bullish weekly.
$M - has a weekly "scoop" pattern. Getting M&A offers (because of it's real-estate). JWN may be a better choice to avoid the M&A drama.
MBLY - very sharp reversal. Still thin - but testing the 21-day MA daily. Above 25.00$ is bid.
MSOS - digesting the 10-week.
NXPI - stunning on a weekly. anything above 240 weekly ... "blue sky" working well.
NVDA - break & stay below 779 as confirmation on hourly. Now sitting on 776.80 first pt. Could see 743 as PT.
NFLX - breakout to 594
ODFL - 438.
PLTR - 24.39 hourly did not hold - still digesting sideways.
SOUN - option IV is crazy. weekly breakout above 5.00 went well. NVDA investment into an A.I. play.
SQ- getting stability; still like it. Textbook. Doing fine.
SLV - hanging out.
SE - earnings next week. Still under the down-sloping 200-day MA. Needs to get above this.
TSLA - above the 200-day. Has a potential inverse H&S. Above is 206.77 then 212.
$U - nasty bull trap but found support at 29 weekly.
TREX - profit taking. below 95.32 could push a little lower.
VLO - needs above 147 weekly as a trigger.
XRT - doing fine.
XBI - great. "if 80 then 100..." ... well, it's at 100. Let it digest here; eventually 105 / 115 in time.
ZM - needs to get above 50-week.
IPO theme is going great. Sam will post this into Slack for you to read.
Gene Editing is doing well. (BEAM, VERV, EDIT, CRSP).
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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 2/27/24