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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 2/28/24

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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael

Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.

For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!


GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS

Rithika's Chase Summary

Market still sideways with breadth holding firm
DXY rejecting resistance should keep the market bid
WTI testing breakout over 79.11
Biotech space took off : CRSP,EDI,VERV going strong.
If SE can push over 48.39 next is 50,55.46( leave a runner from previous chase )
GM next is 41.35,43.55,45 ( boring n slow)
TSLA above 202.80 next is 206.7,208.7,210
COIN still bullish into 213,220 ( Mara earnings tonight gonna impact it)
NVDA can come back down to 743 below 776 (edited)
JMIA tagged the 3 day and digesting needs above 5.77 for 6.4
Sam thinks TJX moves higher into 103.75,105
AAP earnings out of the way next is 69.36,72
BYND needs to hold above10.37 to push back up to 14
SAM come down to 284 below 321
EBAY> 46 can continue to push,

CROX> 118 also can push


Share Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc

Michael's Trading Room Summary

Fed BlackOut starts at the end of the week.

IWF:IWD - back firmly below 1.95. Daily MACD has rolled over but has not crossed under the zero line.

MAG7 - Still holding above the daily 10/20 MA. still bullish. Seems slightly gapped lower in the premarket this morning. Nothing exciting in the mag 7 premarket.

Weighted Dollar / Yields - held between 280 / 275 & chopped about. This has been the case for many days now.

WTI Crude - testing a breakout above 79.11 daily. Needs to hold that for a move higher.

GOLD (futures) - 2040 daily resistance still stands. Still holding the range & chopping.

Nat Gas - crossed above the 20-day MA & testing a breakout. Looks pretty bulled up.

Bit Coin - Bit Coin made the breakout - above 60k now.

Intermarket

T2104 - net buying still.

FX

Dollar (DXY) - All we did is pop up to get rejected. Not a lot of energy. Don't trust it for a follow-through higher. Wrong if we get above 105. Still think it's a fake bounce off the US GDP numbers. Expect this to pull back further (a tail-wind to equities).

USDJPY - approaching intervention levels & then we'll see. Above 152 we could see 165.

USDCNH - Holding - not rolling over.

Bonds

TLT - big gap up premarket and now above 93 daily.

TNX - gapped quite a bit lower than the close yesterday; still inside yesterdays candle & still below 4.3 in the pre-market.

IRX - winking higher on the short end; we have nothing today. BUT Sam thinks we see something for APRIL with QRA in MAY (MAY 1).

ZT (2Y) - fell into PT. Still looking for 101 to continue acting as stability.

ZN (10Y) - 109'16 daily seems to be acting as support.

10Y/2Y spread - expecting -0.60% still ... but holding sideways with a range -0.20 / -0.40.

Index

SPX - couldn't even fade into 5050 PT because there is just not enough selling pressure.

QQQ - the Q's are sitting at 434.65 & we need to break that. Lower / lower / lower. Keep it below 343.50

SVXY - keep it above 108.85 daily. Closed near the highs yesterday but has gapped lower in the premarket. Looks to open near the open of yesterday. Down this morning after the RTH open.

VIX - closed at the lows yesterday but has gapped up and broke out of yesterdays range before fading back into yesterdays candle. Sitting near the high of yesterday in the pre-market.

VVIX - above 81 offers a short term spike higher. Likely triggers tomorrow but worth a watch.

CHASE

AAP earnings out of the way next is 69.36,72

BYND - needs to hold above10.37 to push back up to 14

COIN still bullish into 213, 220

GM next is 41.35,43.55,45 ( boring n slow)

GOOGL 136 next, 132.9

JMIA tagged the 3 day and digesting needs above 5.77 for 6.4

NVDA come back down to 743 below 776

SE wants to push over 48.39 to push 50, 52

TJX sam thinks this moves higher into 103.75,105

TSLA above 202.80 next is 206.7,208.7,210

QQQ below 435 for a scalp down to 433.5,432

TREND

TJX - this is fine; a trend long. anything above 100 is boring & awesome. Has a 37 IV and is just sweet.

HONORABLE MENTION

AAP - hit the 200-day & came back in. Keep an eye on this one. Needs to keep going. Above 72 for a cont play. It's "OK"

ALB - worth watching. May be trying to rise off the btm.

ALT - very bullish; above the daily Bollinger band.

AAPL - sideways at 50-week.

AMD - a little below 174; trying to get knocked about.

AMZN - a large 145 call position was rolled into 160 strike This is a bullish adjustment.

BIDU - not worried.

BA - trigger above 205;

BYND - Sam said in DEC to watch it. See it now? Your welcome. Digest 11 / 12 area. Expect a consolidation at 15 daily. Looks productive even if there is no reason to. Has not even started to really cover shorts. This is MEME stock worthy if we can get some follow-through. Going to take a while. Anything above 14.50 is going to be very bullish. Like the stock - not the options.

BIDU - 104 is support; stay above that. It's pretty fine. Above 113 hourly for a cont long play. Above 114 would be very productive.

CROX - Daily "scoop" pattern. 131.18 long target. 118.68 weekly line to hold. On a daily it looks productive. Weekly above 118 looks great. Sam looked at this last week & said it was productive. Trying to hold the breakout.

CLF - languishing - so eh.

CLSK - insider selling of size; careful of that. Looks excited.

COIN - taking profit makes sense. Has not done anything wrong. Breaking 206 offers 192. Above 208 is even more bullish. Don't see a short on this yet.

EBAY - keep it above 46 weekly. Looks productive.

GBTC - had 60k for BTC & we got it. Still have higher levels.

GM - doing well above 38$. Starting to look productive as a trend long (not a trend long yet). Has to stay above 38 as a swing. Sam said at 27 it was done going down. Congrats if you took that. Like this one a lot.

GOOGL - breaking the PT. Has about 135+ ... impressive break of 138.30.

HOOD - weekly scoop pattern has a nice follow-through. Gapped above weekly.

HMY - doing well. 5.43 weekly needs to hold. Needs DXY to come back down to help it rise.

INGN - had earnings & then dumped;

JMIA - be careful. Great explosion. Expect some shake n bake right here / right now. Sam said it could go to this key level & it's there now so careful. Just tagged the 3-day. Looks great.

KR - looks like it wants more but careful of the M&A

MSTR - don't see a reversal yet.

MBLY - continues to have calls coming in. many days in a row now.

MARA - reports tonight. Has that same "scoop" pattern that the other bit coin proxies have. IV is very high. Earnings - no edge.

MSFT - has a look. Maybe wants the 50-week into 394 but needs to follow-through. They are holding this up. Still.

NVDA - looking for a break below 776 and fade into 725.

PLTR - filled the gap & holding above 24.39$.

SNOW - earnings. Careful.

SE - like it a lot. Wants to get above 48. Love that 48. Just great! Run into earnings was the baseline bet. SE - at the PT; maybe take some off. Hitting the weekly Bollinger high. Broke through the daily 200-day MA. The run looks done.

SQ - above 80 /83 weekly area it will fly again. Still looking good.

SAM - union workers push for higher wages gave this a premarket drop.

SHW - doing fine above 312.

TSLA above 202.80 next is 206.7, 208.7, 210

TGTX - has a nice look.

TWLO - hold above 56

TOST - had earnings & did well. "Daily Scoop" - doing fine.

TPX - nice. Looks good.

UNH - anti-trust lawsuit ... so this is getting hit. All healthcare plans, ETF's Stocks. UNH - below or at 481 weekly is the area to watch for defense

VKTX - testing 90 this morning. Sam said we would hit that 90 again & there we are.

XLE - should be nice above 86.50. Trying to get above.

XBI - still see 105;

BIOTECH

ABSI - still bullish. Would have to get under the 10-week for any worry.

EXAI - another one but not falling apart.

CLDX - above 43 offers 48 / 49 area then 57, 62, and then 75.

RXRX - earnings gut punch brought all the bio-tech names down with it. Still a nice breakout & not falling apart. Could see some more chop but still looks ok.

SDGR - down from RXRX.


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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Recorded Live Trading Room
Every trading day, Samantha runs a Live Trading Room from 9 - 11 am ET for CLUB/EDGE clients - complete with custom engagement, option analysis, macro event risks and market moving news. She captures the move before it happens & sets up the trade for clients across CHASE, SWING & TREND timeframes. CATCH HER RECORDINGS HERE ON SUBSTACK - posted by 2pm ET - except Fridays when she reviews ALL OPEN/CLOSED trades in her portfolios for CLUB/EDGE clients.