Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 12/23/24
With #LTR Notes - by Samantha, Rithika and Mikey
Samantha’s Live Trading Room Summary - 12/23/24
Happy Almost Christmas!!
Let’s gooooo semis! So, it appears that ‘source of funds’ out of XLP - see WMT, COST profit taking - and rotation into SMH - see NVDA, AMD, TSM moving higher. This makes for some decent chase/swing trades (short XLP/long SMH), especially since I posted a long NVDA trade Friday. ;-))
Market is thin in both volume and opportunities. Keep it simple: above 19.29 VIX is market bearish and the inverse is true. My “GREEN SHOOTS” market thoughts Friday shows this SANTA RALLY is still trying. Even if you don’t believe in superstitions doesn’t mean the market doesn’t.
Chases:
ZIM chase > 19.22 into 20.35 worked, but not sure why it even moving.
RUM tied to Tether is one Ryan warned could be next. It opened/needed to stay > 10.29 and is printing 14.29 at this time.
Swings:
FDX: short pre EPS + again after… continues into 260, 254
MCD it’s time: < 295 likely sees 279.50 next few weeks.
ORCL: continued short 160.50
XLF: continued short into 46.73, 45.88
COST: short into 928.80 - 923
WMT: short into 88.64 - 84.85
SPOT: if 448 then 420
Trends:
DBA fell but not really: ex dividend. Still trend long as proxy for soft commodity inflation.
CLS still in strongest sector of electonic compoents, but after breaking out from 63.49 it has reached 100. Time to protect.
DECK is maker of UGGs and it is Xmas. After lovely breakout from 184.41 is now digesting 215 area.
Macro risks are many - starting with the continued rise of US 10Y yields and dollar (as warned two weeks ago) to high yield OAS widening from very oversold (as warned they would last week). Not to mention rising real risk of health scare growing around bird/avian flu. Please make sure to follow Dr. Alexander in his slack channel for members: #kentons-corner-of-biopharma for news and tickers to trade.
And with that, I just ordered my first-ever shipment of powdered eggs and milk, just in case next year sees some durable disruptions in supply food chain! ~/~
SPX downside targets should 5850 negative gamma level trigger: SPX 5778 - 5376
TRADING ROOM IS CLOSED TUESDAY AND OF COURSE WEDNESDAY.
HAPPY HAPPY HOLIDAYS!!!