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Samantha's RECORDED Live Trading Room - 6/18/24

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#trading-room-summaries by Rithika & Michael

Greetings. We are two of Samantha’s Live Trading Room Moderators. Rithika focuses on the the chase action for intraday moves. Michael captures a summary of all ideas & trades across all timeframes - chase, swing & trend. We both make best efforts to cover her trade set ups as well as those requested by clients in the room.

For best results, listen yourself. Or better yet, join us live!


GET THE TRADE BEFORE IT HAPPENS

Rithika's Chase Summary

From Sam:

I did a lot of posting for CLUB/EDGE clients with detailed thoughts in swing-ideas channel and reviewed these live this morning:

Again, these are the MOMO Stocks that triggered - with posted levels in the Swing Idea Channel:

PLTR

MU

MSFT

ANET

NFLX (strong runner up as TOTW)

CMG

ISRG

WDC

STX

LRCX

Not yet triggered BUT LIKE:

AMZN

META

TSLA

OH, and a swing long review of GLW (corning) within the "AI ecosystem" that just tagged $39.28 PT from $35 breakout!! #NOTDONE

_______

For this week and as posted in #Samanthas-Market-Thoughts last week, I still see this in play (and will be amazing call if it actually happens ;-))

>>I reviewed my call last week for NVDA 138 then sell off on Friday OPEX at same time SPX hits 5500. This is working ;-)

Bigger Picture on this NDX melt-up call once SPXC got above my 2024 $5340 price target...

I STILL SEE QQQ HEADING TO $504 now that $472 2024 PT has been taken out.

_______

On bearish side:

I reviewed my warning on GLD, SLV, GDX pulling back more.

And my 4% 10Y summer price target in support of higher bonds.

Chases of note:

AMD chase short gap fill to 153.49 from 164 with 150 next

SMCI chase long into 927 from 800

DELL chase long into 141, 151, next 160

I reviewed DELL & HPE swing/trend longs - part of AI ecosystem

And client requested: CHWY swing long + my "Descending 200D Rule"

I reviewed COST and how those JUNE $800C rec'd at $7.50 are now $70 (although I exited at $32 pre-earnings. I wanted to show what could have been + what likely happens on expiration this Friday.

Reminder: You can reach out to our live trading room moderators in custom-trade-support for CLUB/EDGE members AND we have a continued live trading stage until 12 noon and again 2-4PM in slack under chase-live-huddle for all members!!

ENJOY YOUR DAY OFF TOMORROW!!

NVDA over 132 continues to 135, 138

ADSK pushing to 245, 250.3

CHWY above 23.74 next is 25.4

TSLA gets above 186 can push to 191,199

PLTR needs above 25.20 for 27

NFLX stays above 680, 690 next

SMCI above 927 next is 952 digestion then 994.44


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Michael's Trading Room Summary

JUNE 18, 2024 AM

Macro to Micro Round-Up tonight with Sam & Craig. Need a macro trigger to interrupt the bulls. Credit Spreads are widening (and expecting bonds to stay bid).

MAG7 - bullish; still a few names in this group that are bullish but has not triggered.

Weighted Dollar / Yields Ratio - still above 275 but under 288.

IWF:IWD - clearly MAG7 ... into the foreseeable future. Possible turning point way up here.

WTI CRUDE - does not look very bullish; Sam thinks crude is over-bought. CRAK (the ETF) should be in focus. Still see a potential for a break-down. Still not bullish crude; think we could see yields fall and take crude with it. (See Slack for more on this).

GOLD (futures) - 2230 still in focus. If the Bullish % index drops under 80 it's a short .. but it is just digesting right now.

Bit Coin - Soggy; 65k still has not broken.

FX

Dollar (DXY) - holding under 105 / 106 area. above $105.80 would be impressive.

BONDS

TNX - expecting drama. Could see a strong gap down as a shocker event which would frighten the GLD / SLV "active trader" group ... but while we "could" see that move Sam is still expecting this to get back above 4.3% again and still expecting +4.6% into EOY. Digesting that 4.2%. Supper price target is now 4.00%...

ZN (10Y) - at the PT; give it a little time.

ZT (2Y) - at the PT; give it a little time.

INDEX

SPX - Sam said "5500 PT" and there ya go. Cheers.

IWM - testing 200.00$ price level... resistance. 100-day MA tested. Has to get back above (212.25 weekly) to turn bullish.

QQQ - above 471 is bullish. Weekly $504 next PT (or 507 area).

VIX - still not seeing a bullish push here.

SVXY - popped right back up; consolidation ... need this to fall for the markets to fall. SVXY > 60.76 is bullish for the markets

CHASE

AAPL - over 218 next is 220

ADSK pushing to 245, 250.3

CHWY above 23.74 next is 25.4

NVDA over 132 continues to 135, 138

NFLX stays above 680, 690 next

PLTR needs above weekly 25.20 for 27

SMCI above 927 next is 952 digestion then 994.44

TSLA gets above 186 can push to 191,199

SWING

GLD - posted in Swing channel

SLV - posted in Swing channel

HONORABLE MENTIONS

AMD - still weak. could retest 153.50 or even the 200-day MA.

AAPL - still bullish. 225 analyst upgrade. Still getting bid up. Still don't think we are done.

AVGO - still bullish. Kinda extended. Getting some profit taking. Big picture - a freakout higher. 17.47 is the level to keep it above. If it breaks that - it's a short term short. 1746 PT.

ABBV - keep it above 170

AMZN - still has not done anything wrong.

ANET - all the highs. Cont long momo play. stay above 329

ARM - 151.64 is line in the sand. Bullish above - bearish below.

ADSK - still bullish. Above 200MA & 55 MA daily. 245.88 previous high that we need to get above. Likely tags & digests there. Strong chart

COIN - rejected

COST - love it. blue sky.

CMG - bullish above 32.60

CHWY - 24.25 area - likely gets tapped back there.

CHTR - triggered ... communication is coming up.

DELL - on the monthly it is still freakish bullish. Weekly 151 is resistance. Above that it triggers long again. 154.59 PT.

GDX - weak sauce. Heading lower into 32 area.

GLD - holding above the 10W but doing it weakly.

GLW - blue Sky. Awesome

HOOD - rejected

HPE - amazing breakout. Blue Sky.

INTC - still nothing here yet.

JBL - above 141 weekly would be very nice. Anything above 124 would be trend long.

KKR - possible news? Asset Management... investment news.

LNG - had news...? Bullish Engulfing weekly. Keep an eye on it.

LRCX - looks awesome. Breaking above 107; extended but bullish.

MSTR - rejected.

MU - still bullish; amazing.

MRK - close to a roll over of the 10/21 weekly.

META - still bullish but has not triggered into blue sky. doing great. Digesting that 500.00 area.

MSFT - just awesome. Blue Skys. Is violent but not bearish. Stay above 533.60

NFLX - like it. stay above 665.

NKE - impressive

NEE - absorbing above the 200-MA.

NVDA - still bullish. Intraday looks like an H&S. $138 PT weekly. Break 130 for a short term short into 126.84 gap fill PT. NVDA - DEC 2025 bullish flows still coming in this morning. Think we tag 138 & then it sells off on Friday (like a 10% drop)

OXY - Buffet play.

PLTR - has to get above 25.20 for a trigger long. stay above 23.64. Bullish - they are chasing.

PYPL - a mess. Never triggered. Looked soooo close & then failed. Still not basing yet... extended to the downside.

STX - looks great.

SMCI - really nice. 927 is the level to stay above.

TSLA - TOTW. 186 area is key; had a good open Monday. Could push into 200.00$. Maybe some OTM calls for July. News about tax credits may offer a good earnings play. (Earnings 07.17.24). LRE if we get above 200.00$ & hit the 200-week MA.

$T - looks good.

VRT - stay above 88.70 weekly. $79.85 daily gap fill is the target if support breaks.

WDC - stunning. Blue Sky's.

UBER - keep 69.30 daily as you level of stop. Looks good.

QCOM - continues "all time highs" ... blue sky's.

XLE - back above the 200-day MA. Get above 92.50 for possible long play.

AMZN, META, TSLA - still has not triggered and are considered bullish.


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Macro-to-Micro by Samantha LaDuc
Recorded Live Trading Room
Every trading day, Samantha runs a Live Trading Room from 9 - 11 am ET for CLUB/EDGE clients - complete with custom engagement, option analysis, macro event risks and market moving news. She captures the move before it happens & sets up the trade for clients across CHASE, SWING & TREND timeframes. CATCH HER RECORDINGS HERE ON SUBSTACK - posted by 2pm ET - except Fridays when she reviews ALL OPEN/CLOSED trades in her portfolios for CLUB/EDGE clients.