November 14, 2025 Live Trading Room Market Recap & Trades - Samantha now (AI later this afternoon)
Great Live Session - from the gap down into/through stated levels to the warning to expect lots of bounces:
said near open that puts would get monetized on this gap down of 1% for SPY & 1.6% for QQQ
dealers would need to square their books on a Friday as well, lending support today
tons of technical support in key charts - from BTC on its 50W to PLTR & NVDA on their 55D to main indices on their 10W EMA to lots of the tech wreckage on 100D support like HOOD & APP.
called for SPX 6650 support from LAST FRIDAY to push into 6700 then 6730 with 6750 the most it would reach
VIX as guide: tagging 22.18 resistance means likely falls inside 21.91 = market bounce until VIX 20.57 - with below a bigger bounce next week
ALL WORKED/WORKING - except I underestimated the GAMMA FLIP LEVEL AT 6765 which is exactly where they took us back to! LOL
From Tuesday morning’s live trading room on trade set ups covered:
WGMI Bitcoin Miner/Data Center hype plays are nicely rolling over: CRWV, NBIS, LEU, OKLO, CIFR, WULF, IREN, SEI, BE, VST, CEG, TLN, DELL ... etc
APP new swing short initiated < 613.39, but will take a few weeks to get back to 511 target.
HOOD has started to reverse < 143 on way to 117/115 but will take all month to get there.
ASTS had earnings and stayed inside the range I gave of 65-72. Protect to 58.
NVDA chase short below 195.62
XLF NOV 53P of size rolled to DEC 52P (96K contracts)
Tough to be bearish until SPX can get back below 6807.
WE ARE GOING TO TRADE THAT 6807 DAILY/INTRADAY LEVEL A LOT
From Thursday morning’s live trading room:
“Now many of you are chomping at the bid to catch the bottom in this pullback, but if you read my trading room reviews last week, then you know I said we are likely only halfway on this pullback of -6% in NDX and -4% SPX from ATH.”
WE WILL HAVE ANOTHER CHANCE TO SHORT-THE-RIP
From Wednesday morning’s live trading room on market into year-end:
I’m expecting much more chop AROUND 6666 give or take 250 pts VERSUS a breakout/breakdown directional bent - enough to frustrate both bulls and bears alike!
MARKET IS FIENDISH. WE REACHED 6666 SEPT 19TH AND TWO MONTHS LATER WE ARE STILL HERE: JUST SNAKING AROUND IT