Let's Talk About The Real Economy
From Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour recorded on Sep 10, 2025
In this short clip from Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour, recorded on Sep 10, 2025, Samantha LaDuc and Hans Albrecht discuss how a weaker dollar and stable Treasury yields have fueled equities even as recession risks rise beneath the surface.
They note the 10-year drifting below Samantha’s “Goldilocks” 4.1–4.5% range (to ~4.03%) on soft PPI, while historic labor-market benchmark revisions point to economic weakness that the stock market isn’t yet pricing.
A key warning level is weekly jobless claims sustainably above ~267k; until then, mega-cap “generals” can keep leading and a melt-up remains possible.
Bottom line: the bond market—via yields, PPI, and jobs—will set the path for stocks into Q3–Q4 as tariffs and slower demand begin to pressure margins.
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