📺 Is Reaccelerating Growth Real?
From Macro EDGE Roundup recorded on 06/06/2024 (available to EDGE members)
In this short clip from Macro EDGE Roundup recorded on 06/06/2024 (available to EDGE members), Craig Shapiro and I explore the nuances of the current economic landscape, emphasizing the dichotomy of a 'K-shaped' economy where different segments experience starkly different financial realities.
We delve into the impacts of prolonged high interest rates, predicting a potentially harsh economic landing if these rates persist due to unmitigated inflation.
Throughout our analysis, we critique the Federal Reserve's monetary policies, suggesting that the current strategies may not effectively curb inflation, and we think that the market will continue to rally until the Fed adjusts its approach.
00:00 Rally Factors, Market Predictions, And Economic Growth Overview
00:57 Description Of K-Shaped Economy And Economic Disparities
02:00 Effects Of Long-Term High Interest Rates On The Economy
02:56 Continued High Interest Rates And Their Impact On Inflation
03:40 Labor Market Analysis And Wage Growth
04:01 Productivity And Wages In Economic Terms
04:11 Federal Reserve's Strategy During An Election Year
04:16 Analysis Of Financial Conditions And Fed Policies
05:23 Critique Of Federal Reserve's Current Monetary Policies
06:16 Market Dynamics And Influence Of Leading Tech Sectors
07:01 Narrow Market Focus And Leadership In AI Technology
08:14 International Market Reactions And Political Outcomes
09:24 Unexpected Trends In Bond Market
09:40 Analysis Of Market Movements And Economic Indicators
09:51 Dollar Weakness And Its Impact On The Market
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No especially if you take out mag 7 earnings SP earnings are negative