Crashing Higher Into Consumer Lending Slowdown
From Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour recorded on Oct 1, 2025
In this short clip from Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour, recorded on Oct 1, 2025, Samantha LaDuc and Hans Albrecht discuss why equities keep grinding higher despite blackout windows and softening breadth: liquidity is strong, CTAs haven’t de-risked, and growth still leads while yields, the dollar, and oil chop in ranges.
They note key index targets have crept higher and that “overbought can stay overbought,” but stress that a real macro trigger—like a prolonged government shutdown or a credit event—would be needed to spark volatility.
Under the surface, early cracks are appearing: consumer credit quality is weakening, Fitch and BIS are flagging risks, and the market’s extreme concentration in the biggest tech names raises fragility.
Net-net, the bull train is still moving, but rising unemployment and credit stress could eventually force a repricing—timing remains the hard part.
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