Countdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession

Mar 28, 2026

∙ Paid

Liquidity Is Leaving. Semis Are Done Going Up.
The AI Bubble Is Bursting. Semi Sector Is Next.
A Semi Supply Hit Bigger Than Oil
Higher Oil, Dollar & Yields As Tech Wrecking Ball
Tail Risk Is Still Rising
Countdown To A Global Energy Crisis & Recession

Liquidity Is Leaving. Semis Are Done Going Up.

I wrote Feb 18th: IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN. With a dozen detailed client posts since - all warning of higher oil, dollar and yields causing lower equities & bonds.

Finally, market sees it too! This was just Friday’s hit:

Disclose.tv@disclosetv

JUST IN - Over $1,000,000,000,000 trillion wiped from the U.S. stock market today, its worst day since the Iran War began — AP

8:28 PM · Mar 26, 2026 · 1.67M Views

489 Replies · 1.55K Reposts · 7.08K Likes

I also show my version of liquidity charts daily to clients live - how they provide support when trend is your friend, OR, when they indicate a growing air pocket of risk below. Clients know when I grew weary/worried FEB 2ND: Market Pullback Thoughts

And clients know I already warned liquidity was waning, specifically MARCH 3RD:

“Selling is just starting!”

Clearly, my SPX $6100 target is in view now - before a likely bounce - before getting rejected and revisiting that lower “May 12 birthday rally” gap fill of $5720.

As discussed early & often: value rotation Nov-Feb then “in lieu of sector rotation there will be volatility” Mar-May.

And now Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital is sounding the alarm he sees the same.

“Upfront, we figure the S&P500 index could test 5500 over the next 12 months (a 20-25% correction). The Iran conflict is not helping, but the cause is deeper. Global Liquidity continues to skid and alongside measures of market liquidity are crashing.
Inflation is coming back (did it ever go away), and, despite what media commentators claim, the bond markets are signalling coming rate hikes and a clear ‘Risk Off’ shift.”

March 20th I gave two warnings: short-term and intermediate:

Trading Timeframe:

Crash Risk: 2008-Type Waterfall Level Is Here

From my client post Mar 21st: AI Tech Capex Bust Meets Inflation Shock - where I predict "Oil Shock Meet VAR Shock"… on crash risk levels on break of 6508:

"Let’s just say $6427 SPX is my next level for ‘support’ bounce before $6215 SPX with overshoot to $6100 by mid-May."