📺 Bond Market's Worst Fear
Macro-To-Micro Power Hour full episode recorded on 02/15/2024
In this episode of Macro-To-Micro Power Hour from 02/15/24, Craig Shapiro, Geoffrey Fouvry, and I discuss the current macroeconomic trends and their impact on the market. We cover topics such as inflation, fiscal dominance, and the potential effects of government spending on market dynamics. The conversation delves into the risks and opportunities present in the market, with a focus on how these macroeconomic factors might influence investment strategies and market movements.
📺 In this episode:
00:00:00 Introduction
00:01:20 Discussion on Macro Analysis, Market Dynamics, and Inflation
00:05:25 Federal Reserve's Strategy on Inflation, including Analysis of PPI Data and Rate Adjustments
00:08:14 Exploration of Fiscal Dominance, including Historical Context and Implications
00:15:45 Understanding and Clarifying Fiscal Dominance, with Discussion on Fiscal Plans and Market Reactions
00:19:27 Comments on US Crisis Predictability, Productivity Growth, and Inflation
00:25:01 Impact of War Spending on Inflation and the Importance of Productivity
00:27:30 Jeffrey's Perspective on Interest Rates, Bond Yields, and Fiscal Dominance
00:33:09 Insights into Bond Market, Treasury Market Regulation, and Fiscal Dominance
00:36:00 Trading Strategies, Equities Outlook, and Inflation Trends
00:41:15 Market Reactions to Economic Data and Federal Reserve Actions
00:45:53 Discussion on Dollarization, Market Dynamics, and Financial Engineering
00:50:39 Election Implications, Government Spending, and Market Outlook
00:53:31 China Market Analysis, Political Influences, and Quantitative Tightening
01:00:45 Investment Strategies in Fiscal Dominance and Macro Triggers
01:03:13 Market Forecast, Small Cap Stocks, and China's Economic Influence
01:06:13 Bitcoin and Electric Vehicles
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