AUGUST 5TH VIBES, SORT OF
Differences between the DEC 18th VIX spike (75%) versus AUG 5th VIX spike (64%) explained.
"Comparison is the thief of joy."
Since I posted this chart of VX3M:VIX ratio, warning clients Mon & Tues that I was expecting it to fall and pull down markets, I wanted to share some thoughts on how it differs from the August 5th low, even if it ultimately fell to the same place.
From Monday:
“My VIX3M/VIX ratio is forming a bearish head & shoulders pattern that will trigger as it falls/stays below 1.20.”
To now:
They may look similar, but they couldn’t be more different… and please notice how SPX hasn’t caught down to this ratio, yet.